Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 112.283437 127.607534 144.490228 164.508521 187.646894 213.609609 245.029711
2026-01-25 89.783114 109.681820 133.424059 163.989144 202.508296 249.719167 312.392634
2026-02-01 77.323319 99.428862 127.350124 165.503037 216.738808 283.809631 379.317794
2026-02-08 67.085528 89.822184 119.866880 162.930111 223.813924 307.930723 434.891167
2026-02-15 60.517409 83.908078 116.052349 164.093708 235.176422 338.225074 502.146948
2026-02-22 55.546432 79.439269 113.439852 166.200921 247.547425 370.770272 576.509419
2026-03-01 49.812647 73.158303 107.393768 162.278517 249.996633 388.107389 628.838260
2026-03-08 45.188747 67.997215 102.378016 159.175270 253.026854 406.224649 684.287469
2026-03-15 41.635158 64.089241 98.821690 157.849793 258.526208 428.635075 749.682741
2026-03-22 40.055527 63.093647 99.677839 163.681601 276.458724 473.944440 862.154267
2026-03-29 38.404833 61.804235 99.884694 168.344489 292.742316 518.102048 978.735228
2026-04-05 35.717441 58.553611 96.515256 166.397789 296.846092 540.337900 1055.555643
2026-04-12 33.865729 56.767875 95.826773 169.824081 312.560703 588.936385 1199.279569
2026-04-19 31.522053 53.946784 93.117727 169.357163 321.050788 625.192626 1324.973694
2026-04-26 29.733494 51.926566 91.611551 170.929908 333.667734 671.482820 1481.412735
2026-05-03 27.558116 48.998852 88.144874 168.263593 337.235500 699.168513 1600.065684
2026-05-10 26.098659 47.258345 86.719677 169.469507 349.011730 746.283598 1774.583189
2026-05-17 24.889055 45.876481 85.836312 171.653418 363.135410 800.708891 1978.505796
2026-05-24 23.089709 43.203280 82.176720 167.588335 362.773623 821.325805 2098.041746
2026-05-31 21.547145 40.908490 79.069743 164.372475 363.930969 845.722744 2232.918296
2026-06-07 20.325075 39.154902 76.908841 162.998972 369.228734 881.123237 2406.464320
2026-06-14 19.900723 38.982866 78.001480 169.042414 393.200581 967.854460 2750.573995
2026-06-21 19.382795 38.571902 78.545718 173.875117 414.831099 1052.022491 3107.397114